5

Miss Unbridled

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 31

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f Fas 11911/08C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 29 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 29 par1/09C6OR 29projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +104.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/20269th8/158%20%-0.38
01/09/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67