4
Aubrey's Max
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -15.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |