
Cash App Mike
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |