3

Cash App Mike

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 73 par2/11C8OR 73C5 @ Fair Grounds 20/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Fair Grounds 26/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 84 par26/12C8OR 84C8 @ Fair Grounds 16/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Fair Grounds 09/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 74 · 1m70y Gd 122 · below its mark09/03/2026 · OR 74 par9/03C8OR 74C8 @ Hawthorne 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 7f110y Fm 123 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 67 parC5 @ Hawthorne 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 7f110y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 70 par28/06C5OR 70C5 @ Hawthorne 19/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 79 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 79 par26/08C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-07-19Hawthorne?8th5th+3
2026-06-28Hawthorne?4th1st+3
2026-05-31Hawthorne?3rd3rd0
2026-03-09Fair Grounds?9th9th0
2026-01-16Fair Grounds?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1116/0128/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20252nd5/174%89%+0.15
20/11/20259th100/10%20%+0.20
26/12/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
16/01/20269th50/10%27%+0.27
09/03/20269th33/10%0%0.00
31/05/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
28/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
19/07/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
26/08/20267th14/126%14%-0.12