Hoby Cat
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2024-08-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2024-07-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2024-06-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2024-05-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-03-15 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 23/05/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 20/06/2024 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/07/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 01/08/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |