Magical Wish
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 62
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |