Rules Of The Road
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |