Veneno Futuro
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 02/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |