1
Scenic Justice
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 29/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |