9

Kathi's Girl

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 43

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 05/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 1205/08C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 35 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 35 par27/08C6OR 35projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-05Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +41.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
27/08/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67