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2

Tapit Charm

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 45

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 37 · 1m70y Fas 122 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 37 par22/10C6OR 37C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 36 · 6f 122 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 36 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 35 · 6f 124 · below its mark06/05/2026 · OR 35 par6/05C9OR 35C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 32 · 1m 124 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 32 parC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 33 · 1m110y Slo 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 33 par10/06C6OR 33C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 26 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 26 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 28 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 28 par28/07C9OR 28C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 34 · 6f 121 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 34 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 38 · 6f 124 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 38 par8/09C9OR 38projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th7th−3
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th7th−3
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd6th−3
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th10th−3
2026-06-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1020/0528/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20256th25/10%0%0.00
12/11/20259th50/10%20%+0.20
06/05/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
20/05/20266th25/10%0%0.00
10/06/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
04/07/20267th50/10%40%+0.40
28/07/20263rd33/10%80%+0.80
24/08/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
08/09/20264th10/382%50%-0.32