4
Emoji
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-05-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 16/04/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/05/2025 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 13/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |