5
Panache
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 80
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2024-09-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-07-21 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 21/07/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 19/09/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 01/11/2024 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 20/07/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |