2
Tiz In Sight
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/02/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |