10
Zoomaha
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -2.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-12-10 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-10-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 05/10/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |