2
Jr El Apache
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 52
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +57.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |