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5

Ae King Jb

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1f30y Fas 12427/05C8BHA47 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 47 · 1f130y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2025 · OR 47 par26/0647OR 47C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 49 · 1f130y Gd 124 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 49 par23/09C8OR 49C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 51 · 1f110y 126 · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 51 par13/05C5OR 51C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 58 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 58 par15/06C5OR 58projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2026-05-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0
2025-09-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st5th−3
2025-06-26Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA475th5th+0
2025-05-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th14th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0526/0623/0913/0515/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +10.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/202510th6/168%0%-0.68
26/06/20255th25/10%50%+0.50
23/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
13/05/20268th20/10%22%+0.22
15/06/20268th16/116%13%-0.03