Ajk Sicaru Cowgirl

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 60

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▲1

Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: BHA46

Recent avg: C6.1

Today:

Class gap: -1.1

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-07	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2025-07-30	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2025-07-14	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	1st	5th	−3	5.4
2025-06-26	Horseshoe Indianapolis	BHA46	7th	7th	+0	3.5
2025-06-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	9th	−3	1.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength2%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
11/06/2025	5th	10/1	47%	56%	+0.08
26/06/2025	7th	14/1	26%	25%	-0.01
14/07/2025	1st	9/1	53%	100%	+0.47
30/07/2025	5th	10/1	47%	20%	-0.27
07/07/2026	9th	25/1	0%	11%	+0.11