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2

Grano D Oro

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 69

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 51 · 1f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 51 par16/07C5OR 51C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 1f130y Fas 126 · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 63 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 74 · 1f30y 126 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 74 par6/10C5OR 74C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f110y 126 · below its mark03/11/2025 · OR 70 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f80y 128 · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 70 par21/04C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 69 · 1f130y 128 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 70 · 1f110y 128 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 70 par7/07C5OR 70C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 74 · 110y 128 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1f130y Fas 128 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 71 par13/08C5OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2026-06-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th6th0
2026-04-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2025-11-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/073/117/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20256th20/10%17%+0.17
17/09/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
06/10/20254th9/276%67%-0.10
03/11/20258th3/184%22%-0.62
21/04/20269th9/153%11%-0.42
15/06/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
07/07/20267th6/168%33%-0.35
04/08/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
13/08/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06