8
Seeudontwannabu
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 65
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Allowance · 1f 130y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2024 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 04/09/2024 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/09/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 28/10/2024 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 24/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |