1

Alfresco

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

€250,000 yearling, No Nay Never filly. Half-sister to several winners, including very smart 1m-1¼m winner Prague. Dam 2-y-o 6f winner, won Princess Margaret Stakes and runner-up in Cheveley Park Stakes. Little short-term encouragement in maiden at Naas.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12823/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20267th11/142%57%+0.15