4

Bougie Gals

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

95,000 gns yearling, €210,000 2-y-o, No Nay Never filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including smart 6f winner Gustavus Weston and useful winner up to 6f Kape Moss. Dam 1m winner (including at 2 yrs) who stayed 1¼m. Shaped as if better for the run when tenth of 14 in maiden at Leopardstown.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12820/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Leopardstown?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2175% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/202610th28/10%31%+0.31