8

Green Nature

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#17

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field in maidens at Naas/Galway.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 12523/08C8C8 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sft 1258/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Galway?9th9th0
2026-08-23Naas?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 215% of fieldRange 21-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -16.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 20th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/202611th18/15%33%+0.28
08/09/20269th16/116%27%+0.11