16

Sadie Rose

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#14

Rank

Odds

250/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

Cheap purchase who went with little encouragement in a couple of outings last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 6f Std 12015/08C8C8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12823/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Naas?14th14th0
2026-08-15Dundalk?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0823/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2120% of fieldRange 21-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/202612th150/10%15%+0.15
23/08/202614th500/10%7%+0.07