17

Savannah Sun

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#19

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 2 maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR - · 6f Goo 12116/08C8C8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f Goo 1214/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?10th10th0
2026-08-16Curragh?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 210% of fieldRange 21-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 21st of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/202614th25/10%24%+0.24
04/09/202610th40/10%10%+0.10