20

Youveonlyonemother

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#20

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 2 maidens.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.5 /10 (raw 12.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 12815/08C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?14th14th0
2026-08-15Dundalk?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2125% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/202611th100/10%17%+0.17
09/09/202614th200/10%19%+0.19