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21

Zelente

2yo Filly · 9-2

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 5f 205y

#11

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Mehmas filly. Dam, 2-y-o 6f winner who stayed 1m, half-sister to winner up to 7f Dancing Star and 7f winner Dance In The Storm (both smart). Always behind in maiden at Gowran.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 1281/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2140% of fieldRange 11-16 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/202613th200/10%20%+0.20