8

Moon Sand

2yo Colt · 9-5

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden · 5f 205y

#10

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looks to have been brought along gradually in a pair of maidens at the Curragh so far, never involved dropped back to 1m when ninth of 13 on latest outing 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13316/08C8C8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?9th9th0
2026-08-16Curragh?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

Delivery trend +22.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20269th80/10%11%+0.11
29/08/20269th150/10%33%+0.33