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12

Salt Lake

2yo Colt · 9-5

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden · 5f 205y

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

60%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a promising debut when second of 16 in maiden at the Curragh (7f) last month, collared on the line by an exciting prospect (winner has finished runner-up in the National Stakes since). The one to beat with improvement to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 13322/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20262nd14/126%93%+0.67