1
Abletai
2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 90
Naas · Goffs Two Million Series Maiden · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength66%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | 1 | 6th | -3th | +7 |
| 2026-05-09 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -14.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |