2

Cyclone Code

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 80

Naas · Goffs Two Million Series Maiden · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrice-raced gelding who found some improvement, on the back of a gelding operation, when third of 8 in maiden at Navan (5f, good, 9/1) 15 days ago. One of the likelier contenders.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 13011/05C8C0 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1281/07C?C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 1352/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?3rd3rd0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2026-05-11Roscommon?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/051/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
01/07/20266th18/15%29%+0.23
02/09/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19