7
New Bond Street
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 88
Naas · Goffs Two Million Series Maiden · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
91%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength49%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | 1 | 3rd | -6th | +7 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 1/2 | 97% | 69% | -0.28 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |