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10

Amigos Legacy

2yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 53

Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f

#14

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered little in all 3 starts, most recently after 3 months off at Galway (7f, soft) in late-July. Back sprinting and needs this switch to a nursery to spark major improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f Std 13310/04C8C8 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 13325/04C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 13031/07C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Galway?14th14th0
2026-04-25Navan?7th7th0
2026-04-10Dundalk?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0425/0431/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20266th40/10%0%0.00
25/04/20267th250/10%14%+0.14
31/07/202614th300/10%7%+0.07