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Annie Batt

2yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 70

Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

77%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

From a useful sprinting family and got back on track when second of 8 in maiden at Navan (5f, good) just over a fortnight ago, though still falling below the form she'd shown when filling the same position on debut. This switch to a nursery could elicit some progress.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f3y Gd 1202/07C8C8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12211/07C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 1202/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Navan?14th14th0
2026-07-02Bellewstown?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0711/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -18.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
11/07/202614th5/174%19%-0.55
02/09/20262nd11/893%86%-0.07