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8

My Irish Lady

2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 56

Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains with little form to her name, showing good speed when tenth of 16 in maiden at Cork (5f, good) just under 5 weeks ago. Could take a significant step forward now tackling a nursery for the first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f Goo 1284/07C8C8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f GF 12819/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 5f Goo 12814/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cork?10th10th0
2026-07-19Curragh?10th10th0
2026-07-04Naas?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0719/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +30.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
19/07/202610th66/10%10%+0.10
14/08/202610th80/10%40%+0.40