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13

Siege Of Tyre

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 49

Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held all 3 starts. Drops to the minimum trip for her nursery bow and could show more. 2 lb out of weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 10.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12814/06C8C8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 12116/07C8C0 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Curragh?13th13th0
2026-07-16Leopardstown?8th8th0
2026-06-14Cork?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0616/079/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/202610th200/10%31%+0.31
16/07/20268th150/10%30%+0.30
09/08/202613th250/10%8%+0.08