9
Stellar Path
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 54
Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA57 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 400/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |