5

Summer Sent You

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 60

Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressing gradually and made more impact than previously when third of 10 on nursery debut at Down Royal (7f, good) just under a fortnight ago. Drops to a sprint trip for the first time and she's worth keeping a close eye on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 12312/08C8C8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12620/08C8C7 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 12727/08C7BHA62 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 62 · 7f27y Goo 131 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 62 par4/0962OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA623rd3rd0
2026-08-27Navan?5th5th0
2026-08-20Leopardstown?10th10th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0820/0827/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/202612th33/10%27%+0.27
20/08/202610th50/10%31%+0.31
27/08/20265th80/10%20%+0.20
04/09/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78