3
The Drambling Man
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 62
Naas · Colm White Bookmakers Nursery Handicap · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 19/07/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |