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9

Nando Royale

2yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 70

Naas · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Claiming Maiden · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

92%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Good third in 7f maiden at Roscommon in June but beat only one in another maiden there 30 days ago. The clear form pick if back on his A-game.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 6f Goo 12512/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12530/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 13318/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?11th12th−1
2026-06-30Roscommon?3rd4th−1
2026-06-12Fairyhouse?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0630/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -64.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20266th80/10%69%+0.69
30/06/20263rd10/147%86%+0.38
18/08/202611th6/168%9%-0.59