13
Elyatta
2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 60
Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA60 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA63 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -13.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |