1
Golden Arizona
2yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 72
Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |