17

Panhandle

2yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 47

Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 11.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12711/07C8C8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12523/08C8C0 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f94y Yie 12631/08C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?8th8th0
2026-08-23Naas?14th14th0
2026-07-11Navan?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0723/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 14-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/202613th14/126%25%-0.01
23/08/202614th150/10%7%+0.07
31/08/20268th300/10%13%+0.13