10

Snapequus

2yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 64

Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y

#13

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 12812/08C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 1311/09C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1319/09C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?7th7th0
2026-09-01Gowran Park?11th11th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/081/099/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 14-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/202611th18/15%33%+0.28
01/09/202611th25/10%29%+0.29
09/09/20267th80/10%14%+0.14