9
Supreme Act
2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 65
Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y
#17
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#17
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |