12
Thelymitra
2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 62
Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y
#14
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA62 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/07/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |