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15

Winnie's Wish

2yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 57

Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m 0f 0y

#3

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f Gd 13123/05C8C8 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f Goo 1333/06C8C8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 13127/06C8BHA58 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 58 · 7f Yie 119 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 58 par30/0758OR 58projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30GalwayBHA586th6th0
2026-06-27Curragh?8th8th0
2026-06-03Curragh?10th10th0
2026-05-23Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/053/0627/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 11-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength17%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20268th20/10%0%0.00
03/06/202610th100/10%25%+0.25
27/06/20268th150/10%0%0.00
30/07/20266th22/10%17%+0.17