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Highest Order

2yo Colt · 9-11 · OR 69

Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped as if needing experience when a distant fourth of 5 at Leopardstown on debut but hasn't progressed in 2 outings since. Needs switch to nurseries to have positive effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m Goo 13323/07C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13315/08C8C8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh?11th11th0
2026-08-15Dundalk?7th7th0
2026-07-23Leopardstown?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0715/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +30.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20264th6/168%25%-0.43
15/08/20267th20/10%50%+0.50
29/08/202611th250/10%17%+0.17