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14

Tina Tereshkova

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 45

Naas · Care At Home Nursery Handicap · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to show any ability in 4 maidens and is hard to fancy making nursery debut from out of the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f60y Goo 12331/05C8C0 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 1265/06C?C8 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f Sft 12812/06C8C8 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12826/06C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Curragh?12th12th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?6th6th0
2026-06-05Fairyhouse?9th9th0
2026-05-31Listowel?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/055/0612/0626/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength19%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/202611th80/10%0%0.00
05/06/20269th250/10%0%0.00
12/06/20266th250/10%38%+0.38
26/06/202612th300/10%0%0.00