1

Consenza

2yo Colt · 9-9

Naas · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a bit more than on debut when fourth of 15 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) just over a fortnight ago. Big step forward required to feature.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 09/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 1339/08C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 1311/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?4th4th0
2026-08-09Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +48.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20268th100/10%30%+0.30
01/09/20264th33/10%79%+0.79