8

Dawnmore

2yo Colt · 9-1

Naas · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dawn Approach colt who fared best of the newcomers when fifth of 15 in maiden at Gowran (7f, good to soft) on debut just over 2 weeks ago. Bound to improve on that form and evidently highly regarded (entered in the Dewhurst).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 1311/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran Park?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20265th8/158%71%+0.14